INDIA is considering taking up a Russian offer to buy its crude oil and other commodities at discounted prices with payment via a rupee-rouble transaction, two Indian officials said, amid tough Western sanctions on Russia over its invasion of Ukraine.
India, which imports 80 per cent of its oil needs, usually buys about two per cent to three per cent of its supplies from Russia. But with oil prices up 40 per cent so far this year, the government is looking at increasing this if it can help reduce its rising energy bill.
"Russia is offering oil and other commodities at a heavy discount. We will be happy to take that. We have some issues like tanker, insurance cover and oil blends to be resolved. Once we have that we will take the discount offer," one of the Indian government officials said.
Some international traders have been avoiding Russian oil to avoid becoming entangled in sanctions, but the Indian official said sanctions did not prevent India from importing the fuel.
Work was ongoing to set up a rupee-rouble trade mechanism to be used to pay for oil and other goods, the official said.
The officials, who both declined to be identified, did not say how much oil was on offer or what the discount was.
The finance ministry did not immediately reply to an email seeking comments.
Russia has urged what it describes as friendly nations to maintain trade and investment ties.
India has longstanding defence ties with Russia and abstained from a vote at the United Nations condemning the invasion, although New Delhi has called for an end to the violence.
Russia's Surgutneftegaz allowed Chinese buyers to receive oil without providing letters of credit payment guarantees to bypass sanctions, sources said.
The Indian government, which could see its import bill rise by $50 billion (£38.34 bn) in the fiscal year starting in April, is also looking for cheaper raw materials from Russia and Belarus for fertiliser, as the cost of its subsidy programme has rocketed.
The government, which has already doubled its subsidy bill for the fiscal year to the end of March 31, allocated a further Rs 149 bn (£1.49 bn) on Monday (14).
The government expects the fertiliser subsidy bill to rise by at least Rs 200 bn (£2.01 bn) to Rs 300 bn (£3.01 bn) in the next financial year, from the current estimate of Rs 1.05 trillion (£11 bn), the two officials said.
"If we can get cheaper fertiliser from Russia then we will take that. It would help in easing some fiscal concerns," one official said.
(Reuters)
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Diageo faces challenges in life after Ivan Menezes
Feb 04, 2025
DIAGEO, the global beverage company known for brands like Johnnie Walker and Guinness, has encountered significant challenges following the death of CEO Sir Ivan Menezes in June 2023. Menezes, who had led the company since 2013, was succeeded by Debra Crew.
Under Crew's leadership, Diageo has faced a profits warning and adverse global consumer trends. The company's shares have declined nearly 30 per cent since her appointment.
Factors contributing to this downturn include the rise of weight-loss drugs reducing alcohol consumption, supply chain misjudgments in Latin America, and global economic pressures, reported The Guardian.
In the US, Diageo's largest market, cautious consumer behaviour has further impacted sales. Despite maintaining market share in 75 per cent of measured markets, including the US, investor confidence has waned.
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The company has denied rumours of drastic measures, such as selling the Guinness brand. Challenges persist, including changing consumer behaviours, increased alcohol duties, and potential tariffs affecting exports.
Crew aims to reassure investors and meet ambitious growth targets in the upcoming half-year results presentation.
Menezes, who was born in Pune, India, and educated at St Stephen's College in Delhi and the Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, passed away following a brief illness. He had been hospitalised for conditions including a stomach ulcer.
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Key points from India's 2025 budget
Feb 02, 2025
INDIA will focus on increasing the spending power of its middle class, encouraging private investment, and promoting inclusive development, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman said on Saturday while presenting the annual budget.
Sitharaman said the budget for 2025-26 includes measures for the poor, youth, farmers, and women. She also highlighted "transformative reforms in taxation."
Key announcements from the budget:
Relief for middle-class taxpayers
- Raises the nil tax slab threshold for income tax payers to ₹1.2 million (£11,200) per year
- Proposes changes to income tax slabs and rates to benefit all taxpayers
- Maximum tax rate of 30 per cent raised to incomes of ₹2.4 million (£22,300) and above under the new tax regime
- Plans to introduce an income tax bill in parliament to simplify tax rules and reduce litigation
- Analysts say tax cuts may boost consumer demand
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- Fiscal deficit expected at 4.4 per cent of GDP in 2025-26, down from a revised 4.8 per cent in the current fiscal year
- Gross borrowings estimated at ₹14.82 trillion (£137.9 billion) for 2025-26
- Net borrowings estimated at ₹11.54 trillion (£107.4 billion) for 2025-26
- Total revenue receipts projected at ₹34.20 trillion (£318.3 billion) for 2025-26, up from ₹30.88 trillion (£287.3 billion) in the current fiscal year
- Net tax revenue receipts for 2025-26 expected at ₹28.37 trillion (£264.1 billion)
- Total budget spending for 2025-26 estimated at ₹50.65 trillion (£471.4 billion), compared to revised spending of ₹47.16 trillion (£438.6 billion) in 2024-25
- Revised spending target for 2024-25 lowered by ₹1.04 trillion (£9.7 billion) from the initial estimates
- Capital spending target for 2025-26 set at ₹11.2 trillion (£104.2 billion), up from the revised ₹10.18 trillion (£94.8 billion) in the current fiscal year
- Proposes to increase the foreign direct investment limit in insurance to 100 per cent from 74 per cent
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- Launching a five-year mission for cotton production
- National Manufacturing Mission to be set up to support the ‘Make in India’ initiative
- Credit guarantee cover for small and medium enterprises increased to ₹100 million (£930,500)
- Fund of funds to be created for start-ups with government support of ₹100 billion (£930.5 million)
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SHOPLIFTING across the UK has spiked in recent months costing stores a record £2.2 billion ($2.7bn) in losses, a leading retail organisation warned.
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Cases of "retail violence and abuse increased over 50 per cent to more than 2,000 incidents a day".
In the 12 months to September 1, 2024, a total of 45,000 cases involving violence or abuse were recorded in UK stores, out of which 25,000 involved weapons.
"Shopworkers are often in a vulnerable situation, facing intimidation from someone potentially carrying a weapon and possibly under the influence of alcohol or drugs," the report said.
Chris Brook-Carter, head of the Retail Trust, said that "almost half of the retail workers we've surveyed told us they currently fear for their safety."
"Nearly two thirds are stressed and anxious going to work due to this unacceptable level of retail crime," he added.
The total cost of retail crime including crime prevention has now reached "a colossal £4.2bn, of which £2.2bn is a direct result of customer theft", the report added.
"A lack of police action" over the years "has given these criminals a licence to steal, and a green light for aggression," said Helen Dickinson, head of the consortium.
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Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman will deliver the budget speech.
The budget comes as India faces slowing economic growth, inflation concerns, and trade disruptions. Economists expect measures to boost disposable income, support local manufacturing, and provide relief to the middle class.
"We could see a nod from the government, to signal to the middle class that we are aware of your challenges and we would like to raise disposable incomes, which increases spending power," Priyanka Kishore, director and principal economist at Asia Decoded, said.
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India’s job market remains a concern despite strong economic growth. Last year’s budget allocated nearly £19.4 billion over five years for job creation programmes, but these schemes have not yet been implemented due to delays in finalising details.
"They will focus more on direct measures for employment generation and skilling," Kishore said.
Trade policies and global supply chain strategy
India is also preparing for potential disruptions from US trade policies. To support local production, the government may offer lower tax rates to companies manufacturing in India, reduce import duties on intermediate goods, and increase tariffs to counter cheaper imports from China, Nomura economists said.
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Additionally, the government may introduce incentives for the textile and garment industry, including financial support and tariff reductions on key inputs. This comes as Bangladesh’s exports face challenges due to political instability.
Infrastructure spending will likely remain a priority. Government spending in this sector has played a key role in recent economic growth, but the current fiscal year’s £102.8 billion infrastructure allocation is expected to fall short of targets, according to ICRA economists.
The budget is also expected to increase spending for the agriculture sector by around 15 per cent, the highest increase in six years, alongside moderate increases in key subsidies to support rural economic recovery.
Fiscal strategy and growth outlook
India plans to project higher economic growth in the budget, according to Reuters. The economy is expected to grow between 6.3 per cent and 6.8 per cent in the next fiscal year, lower than the 8.2 per cent growth recorded in 2023-24 but in line with global forecasts.
"Headwinds to growth include elevated geopolitical and trade uncertainties and possible commodity price shocks," the Finance Ministry said in its annual economic survey.
The government will have to balance spending measures with its fiscal constraints. India’s fiscal debt-to-GDP ratio remains above 80 per cent, which is high for emerging markets, Nim said. The fiscal deficit target for the next financial year is expected to remain at 4.5 per cent of GDP, according to a Reuters poll.
With limited fiscal space, the burden of economic recovery may shift to the Reserve Bank of India, analysts said. The government is expected to borrow £132.7 bn in the next fiscal year, slightly higher than this year’s £130.2 bn borrowing plan.
Focus on women, the middle class, and social policies
Modi has indicated that the budget will include measures to support women, the middle class, and lower-income groups.
Speaking before the budget session, he referred to Lakshmi, the Hindu goddess of wealth, and said he prayed for "special blessings for the poor and middle class."
He also stressed the need for ensuring equal rights for women, free from religious and sectarian divides. "Significant decisions towards this goal will be taken during this session," Modi said.
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"The nation is witnessing major decisions and policies being implemented at an extraordinary speed, with the highest priority given to the poor, middle class, youth, women, and farmers," she said.
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(With inputs from agencies)
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Reports on Thursday stated that Reliance Industries Limited (RIL), which owns Mumbai Indians, emerged as the successful bidder.
All eight city-based teams in the Hundred, each with a men’s and women’s side, are expected to be paired with preferred investors over the next week.
The England and Wales Cricket Board (ECB) aims to attract private investment to remain competitive in the global market and secure top international players.
According to ESPNCricinfo, RIL won a virtual auction for the minority stake, valued at around £60 million. The company will now enter an exclusivity period to negotiate terms with county club Surrey and the ECB.
Oval Invincibles, based at the Oval in London, are the reigning champions in the men’s Hundred competition.
Mumbai Indians are considered one of the most influential franchises in the IPL. Mukesh Ambani, chairman and managing director of RIL, is among India’s leading business figures.
Surrey chairman Oli Slipper had previously assured club members that Surrey "must and will retain the controlling stake" in the Invincibles.
The ECB has not commented on the deal and is expected to announce the results of all eight tenders once the process concludes in the coming days.
The Hundred has drawn criticism from some English county cricket supporters who argue that the tournament takes key players away from their teams during the domestic season.
However, the ECB has stated that proceeds from selling stakes in the eight franchises will help fund the 18 county clubs.
(With inputs from AFP)
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