UK's major retailers reported the first monthly decline in shop prices in two years in July, as they offered significant discounts to attract customers during the unseasonably wet weather.
The British Retail Consortium (BRC) revealed that shop prices dropped by 0.1% compared to June.
Additionally, the annual shop price inflation rate, compiled in collaboration with NielsenIQ, decreased to its lowest level of the year, reaching 7.6% last month, down from 8.4% in June, The Guardian reported.
Clothing and footwear witnessed substantial price reductions, as retailers launched bigger discounts to encourage shoppers to invest in summer outfits despite the heavy rainfall and floods across much of the country.
Moreover, food price inflation also slowed in July, reaching its lowest rate of 2023, thanks to decreased costs of staple items like oils, fats, fish, and breakfast cereals.
This helped alleviate some financial pressure on cash-strapped consumers.
The annual price growth for food products fell for the third consecutive month to 13.4%, lower than June's 14.6% figure and the lowest since December last year.
While the July shop price figures provide some optimism, the BRC has issued a warning that retailers might encounter rising input prices in the coming months, particularly for food, due to international events.
Recent global food commodity price increases, particularly for wheat and corn, were influenced by Russia's decision to terminate the Black Sea grain deal, affecting Ukrainian cereals reaching world markets.
Furthermore, rice prices rose after India banned exports of non-basmati white rice in an effort to control domestic inflation following heavy rain's impact on domestic crops.
Helen Dickinson, the chief executive of the BRC, highlighted that additional supply chain issues may lead to increased input costs for retailers in the future.
She emphasised that food prices are expected to fall at a slower rate compared to other goods.
To address this situation, Dickinson urged the government to freeze business rates from April next year to avoid adding an extra £400 million of pressure on prices.
Though the retail industry, particularly food retailers, has faced pressure due to the rising cost of living, overall price rises appear to be slowing down.
The UK's annual inflation rate declined more than expected in June to 7.9%, primarily driven by a significant drop in petrol costs.
The Office for National Statistics reported the first larger-than-expected fall in inflation since the beginning of the year, leading to improved forecasts on interest rate hikes by the Bank of England for the near future.
Mike Watkins, the head of retailer and business insight at NielsenIQ, suggests that discretionary consumer spending is expected to rise because of the summer holidays and the improving inflation outlook.
However, shoppers are adapting their strategies, opting to shop at different retailers, purchasing lower-priced items, delaying spending, or making purchases during promotions. This consumer behaviour is likely to continue, he said.
Shein’s UK sales hit £2.05bn in 2024, up 32.3 per cent year-on-year, driven by younger shoppers.
The retailer benefits from import tax loopholes unavailable to high street rivals.
Faces mounting criticism over labour practices and sustainability as it eyes a London listing.
Tax edge drives growth
Chinese fashion giant Shein is transforming Britain’s online clothing market, capturing a third of women aged 16 to 24 while benefiting from tax breaks unavailable to high street rivals.
The fast-fashion retailer’s UK sales surged 32.3 per cent to £2.05bn in 2024, according to company filings, with pre-tax profits rising to £38.3m from £24.4m the previous year. The growth comes as established players like Asos struggle in an increasingly competitive landscape where young consumers prioritise value above all else.
Shein has partly benefited from a tax break on import duty for goods worth less than £135 sent directly to consumers, The rule lets overseas sellers send low-value goods to the UK tax-free, disadvantaging local businesses.
“The growth of Shein and Temu is a huge factor,” said Tamara Sender Ceron, associate director of fashion retail research at Mintel told The Guardian. “It is particularly successful among younger shoppers. It is also a threat to other fashion retailers such as Primark and H&M because of its ultra-low price model that nobody can compete with. It’s changed the market.
"The market dynamics reflect broader shifts in consumer behaviour. Online fashion sales reached £34bn last year, up 3 per cent, according to Mintel, but shoppers have become more cautious as disposable incomes shrink, and fashion competes with holidays, festivals, and streaming services for wallet share.
Scrutiny builds
Despite its commercial success, Shein faces mounting scrutiny. The company filed initial paperwork last June for a potential London Stock Exchange listing, but critics question its labour practices and environmental impact.
"Regardless of whether Shein gets listed on the London Stock Exchange, no company doing business in the UK should be allowed to play fast and loose with human rights anywhere in their global supply chains,” said Peter Frankental, economic affairs programme director at Amnesty International UK to BBC.
The “de minimis” rule has drawn renewed attention after US President Donald Trump scrapped a similar measure during his trade war with China.
Shein’s UK operation now employs 91 people across offices in Kings Cross and Manchester, focusing primarily on local market expertise.
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