SRI LANKA on Wednesday tightened restrictions on a wide range of imports from whisky to kitchen appliances as a foreign exchange shortage pushed the economy to the brink of collapse.
An import ban was already introduced in March 2020 on big-ticket items such as cars in an effort by the government to stop the outflow of dollars needed to pay Sri Lanka's debts.
Under the new regulations, 350 items that the government considers luxuries, including apples, grapes and oranges cannot be freely imported.
Chocolates, cheese and pasta will also not be allowed unless the government grants an exception.
The measures came two days after the government devalued the local currency by nearly 15 per cent against the US dollar in a desperate bid to attract more dollars through remittances.
Sri Lanka's worst economic crisis since independence in 1948 has led to fuel and electricity rationing across the south Asian nation of 22 million, and has crippled public transport and caused long queues for food and medicines.
Essentials such as milk powder, sugar, lentils and wheat, as well as medications, are in short supply.
The coronavirus pandemic battered the island's tourism sector - a key foreign exchange earner - sparking fears the country may not be able to repay its $51 billion (£38.74 bn) foreign debt.
Official data shows Sri Lanka needs nearly $7 bn (£5.32 bn) to service its foreign debt this year, but the country's foreign currency reserves at the end of February were only $2.02 bn (£1.53 bn) - enough to finance less than one month's imports.
(AFP)
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One millionaire leaves UK every 45 minutes, study finds
Jan 19, 2025
A RECORD number of millionaires have left the country since Labour took office, with concerns mounting over the party’s tax policies.
A study by New World Wealth and Henley & Partners revealed that Britain lost a net 10,800 millionaires in 2024, marking a 157 per cent rise from the previous year.
This figure, which excludes incoming millionaires, is second only to China’s outflows globally, The Times reported.
Many of these wealthy individuals relocated to countries such as Italy, Switzerland, and the UAE, with 78 centi-millionaires and 12 billionaires among them.
The exodus accelerated after Labour announced plans to abolish the non-domiciled tax regime.
From April, the reforms will replace the current system with a residence-based framework, extending UK inheritance tax to non-doms’ overseas assets.
The Treasury expects the changes to generate £2.5 billion annually over five years. However, Oxford Economics estimates the reforms could cost the economy nearly £1 bn annually due to reduced tax revenues and the broader impact on the economy.
A survey by Oxford Economics found nearly two-thirds of non-doms or their advisers are considering leaving the UK. On average, each non-dom contributed £800,000 in VAT last year, £890,000 in stamp duty over five years, and invested £118 million in the UK, the newspaper reported.
Foreign Investors for Britain has criticised the government’s policy. David Hawkins, a representative of the group, called it “a monumental act of national self-harm,” citing its potential to deter businesses, jobs, and philanthropy, The Times reported.
Tax experts have reported a surge in inquiries from British entrepreneurs considering relocation since the budget announcement.
Henley & Partners reported a 57 per cent increase in applications for alternative citizenship in 2024 compared to the previous year.
Entrepreneurs like Charlie Mullins and real estate investor Asif Aziz have already moved abroad. Calls for a tiered tax system to attract wealthy investors have been proposed as a compromise.
Treasury officials maintain that the reforms aim to ensure fairness and stability.
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UK to lead European growth in 2025, predicts IMF
Jan 18, 2025
BRITAIN is set to have the fastest growth among major European economies this year, according to the International Monetary Fund, a boost to finance minister Rachel Reeves who is under pressure over a slowdown since her party came to power in July.
The IMF has raised its forecast for British growth for 2025 by 0.1 percentage points to 1.6 per cent, making it the third-strongest among the Group of Seven advanced economies after the US and Canada.
The IMF outlook for British gross domestic product growth in 2026 remained at 1.5 per cent, again the third-fastest in the G7 and unchanged from its October estimate.
IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said the "modest" growth upgrade reflected a net positive impact from Reeves' first budget on Oct. 30 - as greater public investment would outweigh headwinds created by higher taxes - as well as rising household incomes and Bank of England rate cuts.
The BoE was likely to cut rates around once per quarter in 2025, he added.
Responding to the upgrade for 2025, Reeves said she would "go further and faster" to deliver economic growth.
The Bank of England forecast growth of 1.5 per cent in 2025, partly reflecting a short-term boost to the economy from a temporary increase in public spending announced by Reeves on Oct. 30.
Rachel Reeves
Last month, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development also raised its forecast for British economic growth to 1.7 per cent from 1.2 per cent previously.
However, Reeves' spending plans are based on forecasts from the government's Office for Budget Responsibility which pencilled in growth of 2 per cent for 2025 and 1.8 per cent for 2026.
British government 30-year borrowing costs hit their highest since 1998 this week - the biggest losers in a global bond selloff driven by concerns about higher inflation and borrowing under the imminent presidency of Donald Trump.
But British bond prices recovered later in the week after weaker-than-expected British and U.S. inflation data and slower-than-expected GDP growth in November, the first month after Reeves set out her budget plan.
Reeves - whose future has been questioned by opposition lawmakers - doubled down on her budget decisions on Friday (17), saying they had been made in the national interest to put public finances back on "a firm footing".
Britain's economy stagnated in the third quarter of 2024, when the prospect of big tax rises in the Labour government's budget hit companies, and the BoE estimates there was zero growth in the final quarter of 2024 too.
(Reuters)
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Reliance Industries reports 7.38 per cent rise in quarterly profit
Jan 17, 2025
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES reported a 7.38 per cent year-on-year increase in profit for the December quarter on Thursday, driven by growth in its consumer-focused divisions.
The company, led by Mukesh Ambani, remains India’s most valuable by market capitalisation.
While expanding into retail, telecoms, and green energy, Reliance still relies heavily on its oil-to-chemicals business, which had faced recent challenges, leading to three consecutive quarters of profit decline last year.
Breaking this trend, Reliance recorded a net profit of £1.75 billion for the December quarter, slightly surpassing the analyst consensus of £1.73 bn.
Revenue from operations rose 6.97 per cent year-on-year to £22.99 bn, with growth seen across all divisions.
Chairman Mukesh Ambani said in a statement that the petrochemicals business had shown "innate resilience" despite the volatility in global energy markets.
He added that the digital services segment experienced "robust growth" due to subscriber additions and improved customer engagement, while the retail arm benefited from strong festive season demand.
The telecom segment's average revenue per user increased by 11.9 per cent to £1.92, supported by tariff hikes and a better subscriber mix.
Reliance's retail business recorded an 8.8 per cent increase in gross revenue, reaching £8.54 bn, supported by holiday season sales.
Store footfalls grew 5 per cent year-on-year to 296 million during the quarter.
Shares of Reliance Industries closed 1.14 per cent higher in Mumbai ahead of the earnings announcement.
(With inputs from AFP)
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India faces growth challenge as global uncertainty mounts
Jan 17, 2025
AFTER world-beating economic growth last year, India’s policymakers are scrambling to prevent a sharp slowdown as worsening global conditions and declining domestic confidence undo a recent stock market rally.
Last Tuesday (7), Asia’s third-largest economy forecast 6.4 per cent annual growth for the fiscal year ending in March, the slowest in four years and below initial projections, weighed down by weaker investment and manufacturing.
The downgrade follows disappointing economic indicators and a slowdown in corporate earnings in the second half of 2024, which have forced investors to rethink the country’s earlier outperformance and cast doubts over prime minister Narendra Modi’s ambitious economic targets.
The fresh worries are heightening calls for authorities to lift sentiment by loosening monetary settings and slohe pace of fiscal tightening, especially as Donald Trump’s looming second presidency in the US throws more uncertainty over the global trade outlook.
“You have to revive the animal spirit, and you also have to ensure that consumption picks up. It’s not that easy,” Madhavi Arora, chief economist at Emkay Global Financial Services, said, adding India could expand its fiscal balance sheet or cut interest rates.
Such calls come amid a flurry of meetings by Indian policymakers with businesses growing increasingly worried about faltering demand.
Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman held a series of meetings in December with industry and economists, customary ahead of India’s annual budget, which is due on February 1.
Some measures proposed in those talks to boost growth include putting more money into the hands of consumers and cutting taxes and tariffs, according to demands by trade and industry associations.
The worries about India’s economy knocked 12 per cent off the benchmark Nifty 50 index from late September to November. It clawed back those losses to end 2024 up 8.7 per cent, a decent gain but well off the previous year’s 20 per cent surge.
As confidence wanes, the political urge to stimulate growth appears to be broadening.
India’s monthly economic report published last month said the central bank’s tight monetary policy was partly responsible for the hit to demand.
Modi has made some high-profile changes recently that are expected to lift economic growth as a priority over price stability.
In a surprise move in December, Modi appointed Sanjay Malhotra as the new central bank governor, replacing Shaktikanta Das, a trusted bureaucrat who was widely expected to get another one to two-year term as chief having completed six years at the helm.
The appointment of Malhotra, who recently said the central bank would strive to support a higher growth path, came immediately after data showed September quarter growth slowed much more than expected to 5.4 per cent.
Donald Trump
During the pandemic, Modi sought to keep the economy growing by raising infrastructure spending and limiting wasteful expenditure to keep government finances in good shape.
That lifted headline GDP growth, but has not supported wages or helped consumption sustain an annual expansion of more than seven per cent over the past three years.
While India’s economy may still outperform globally, the question is whether it can maintain 6.5 per cent-7.5 per cent growth or slow to five per cent-six per cent, said Sanjay Kathuria, visiting senior fellow at Centre for Social and Economic Progress.
Arora said the country currently is in a “bit of a limbo” where individuals are not spending. She expects this to continue if employment does not improve and wage growth remains weak.
Reuters reported last month the government plans to cut taxes for some individuals and is preparing to offer tariff cuts on some farm and industrial goods, mainly imported from the US, to clinch a trade deal with Trump.
Economists said the government will have to slow some of its fiscal tightening to support growth with the success of such measures dependent on the extent of the cuts.
With regards to trade, analysts said India needs a credible plan to fight Trump’s tariff wars.
If China remains the main target of Trump’s tariffs, that could present an opportunity for India to boost its trade profile, although it would also need to let the rupee fall further to make its exports more competitive, economists said.
The rupee has hit multiple lows in the past few weeks and 2024 was its seventh consecutive year of decline, mostly due to a surging dollar. Last Wednesday (8), it hit a fresh all-time low.
India needs to “seriously implement tariff rationalisation to help embed itself more deeply into global value chains,” Kathuria, also an adjunct professor at Georgetown University, said.
This could include tariff cuts aimed at pre-emptively heading off punitive levies from a Trump White House.
“India should announce some proactive measures for US suo-moto to bring concessions for the US, rather than waiting for the new administration to announce their steps,” said Sachin Chaturvedi, head of the New Delhi-based Research and Information System for Developing Countries. (Reuters)
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Tata Consultancy sees 5.6 per cent rise in revenue despite market challenges
Jan 16, 2025
INDIAN IT giant Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) posted a 5.6 per cent on-year rise in revenue for the December quarter last Thursday (9), after lower earnings in its key North American market.
The leader of India’s $254 billion (£208.4bn) IT sector, TCS is the second-largest company in India by market capitalisation and earns over 80 per cent of its revenue from Western clients.
The Mumbai-headquartered firm has seen growth slow over the past 18 months as high inflation and global geopolitical uncertainty forced customers to cut back on tech spending.
It has forecast a better performance this year as demand slowly recovers, betting on a revival in North America’s banking sector, lower inflation and clients spending more on generative AI.
The firm’s October-December revenue rose 5.6 per cent year-onyear to `639.7 billion, slightly below analyst estimates of around six per cent.
Net profit for the period came in at Rs 123.99bn with “growth led by consumer business group, energy, resources and utilities, and regional markets”, TCS said in a statement.
“In a quarter that saw significant cross-currency volatility TCS’s strong execution, cost management and deft currency risk management helped deliver healthy margin improvement and free cash flows,” TCS chief financial officer Samir Seksaria said in the statement.
The earnings statement showed a 2.3 per cent on-year decline in the North American market, offset by growing domestic demand.
Top Indian IT firms have resumed adding employees on a net basis over the past two quarters, a boon for the job prospects of tens of thousands of young Indian engineering graduates who depend on the sector.
However, potential headwinds remain on the horizon.
Recent policy debates in the United States have sparked speculation over how the H-1B visa system, a major tool for Indian IT firms, may be severely cut back.
The IT services sector is one of India’s biggest employers and revenue earners.
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