Economy stagnates in third quarter, revised data shows
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the GDP showed zero growth between July and September, down from the previously estimated 0.1 per cent growth.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves responded to the figures, acknowledging the scale of the challenge. (Photo: Getty Images)
THE UK’s economy saw no growth in the third quarter, according to revised data released on Monday, marking a setback for the Labour government.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that gross domestic product (GDP) showed zero growth between July and September, down from the previously estimated 0.1 per cent growth.
The data covers the early period of the Labour government's tenure leading up to its first budget announcement at the end of October.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves responded to the figures, acknowledging the scale of the challenge.
“The challenge we face to fix our economy and properly fund our public finances after 15 years of neglect is huge,” she said. “But this is only fuelling our fire to deliver for working people,” Reeves added.
Economic forecasts had projected 0.2 per cent growth, and analysts pointed to pre-budget uncertainty as one reason for the weaker outcome, noting the impact of proposed business tax increases and higher state borrowing plans.
The ONS also revised the second quarter growth figure down to 0.4 per cent from 0.5 per cent.
Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, commented that the data indicated “the economy ground to a halt in the second half of the year due to a combination of the lingering drag from higher interest rates, weaker overseas demand and some concerns over the policies in the budget.”
Debt interest payments rose to £9.7bn, up £3.8bn from a year earlier.
Borrowing for the first six months of the financial year hit £99.8bn.
Public sector debt now stands at around 95.3% of GDP.
UK GOVERNMENT borrowing in September reached £20.2bn, the highest September total in five years, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.
That was up £1.6bn from September last year. Higher debt interest payments offset increased receipts from taxes and national insurance, the ONS said.
Borrowing over the first six months of the financial year stood at £99.8bn, up £11.5bn from the same period last year.
September’s figure was slightly below some analysts’ expectations of £20.8bn but just above the Office for Budget Responsibility’s March projection of £20.1bn.
The government paid £9.7bn in debt interest in September, up £3.8bn from a year earlier. Public sector debt is estimated at 95.3% of GDP.
Capital Economics chief economist Paul Dales told the BBC’s Today programme the chancellor would "love tax receipts to be higher" but that it would depend on faster growth in the economy.
Capital Economics projects the government will need to raise £27bn in the Budget, with "higher taxes on households having to do the heavy lifting". Chief Secretary to the Treasury James Murray said the government would "never play fast and loose with the public finances" and aims to reduce borrowing to cut "costly debt interest, instead putting that money into our NHS, schools and police".
Shadow chancellor Mel Stride said borrowing was "soaring under this Labour government" and that "Rachel Reeves has lost control of the public finances and the next generation are being saddled with Labour's debts."
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